After Hurricane Beryl strengthened to a Category 5 over the ocean, a hurricane warning is now in effect for Jamaica, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Beryl is expected to bring 4 to 8 inches of rainfall to parts of Jamaica on Wednesday, with isolated amounts of up to 12 inches. This rainfall could cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas.
Outer bands of Beryl could affect southern portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti from late Tuesday through Wednesday, potentially bringing 2 to 6 inches of rainfall to those areas.
Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Caribbean Sea, where Beryl is currently located, are warmer than average for this time of year, more in line with what they would be at the height of the Atlantic hurricane season than in early July. This is providing ample fuel for Beryl’s extreme intensification.
According to the latest forecast, Beryl’s strength is unlikely to change much overnight, but it is expected to weaken gradually from Tuesday onwards as the storm moves west and northwest across the Caribbean Sea.
The weakening trend will continue for the remainder of the week as Beryl moves across the Caribbean Sea and encounters less favorable atmospheric conditions.
Beryl will then target Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula by the end of the week. Current forecasts call for a second landfall on Friday, along the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The system will then likely move into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche, continuing to weaken, while targeting parts of eastern Mexico next weekend as a tropical storm.
Unfortunately, the same general area of eastern Mexico will likely be hit by the first three named storms of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. After being hit by Alberto and most recently by Tropical Storm Chris in the past 24 hours, Beryl will likely bring at least some impacts to the same region by the end of next weekend.
source: NHC
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