No absolute majority, the French National Assembly divided into three major political forces after the second round of legislative elections.
The ballot boxes have delivered their verdict. After the second round of the legislative elections on Sunday, July 7, no absolute majority emerged within the National Assembly, which thus finds itself in an unprecedented composition and divided into three major political forces.
According to the final results, the National Rally and its allies obtained 143 deputies. The far-right party and its allies, invested by the president of the Republicans Eric Ciotti, therefore did not manage to cross the threshold of 289 elected representatives, that of the absolute majority. They are even very far from it, although they won many deputy positions, and will constitute only the third political force in the National Assembly, overtaken by the New Popular Front and Ensemble, the alliance of the presidential camp.
In this new National Assembly, the left-wing parties, united for the legislative elections under the banner of the New Popular Front (La France Insoumise, the Socialist Party, the Ecologists and the French Communist Party), obtained 180 deputies. This left-wing alliance is therefore the leading political force in this new hemicycle. The left supplants the presidential camp.
The distribution of seats obtained by the New Popular Front is as follows: 71 elected for LFI, 64 for the PS, 33 for the Ecologists, 9 for the PCF and 3 for other parties. In the hemicycle, the parties of this electoral union should however sit in different groups, as after the legislative elections of 2022 where they had allied under the banner of the New Ecological and Social Popular Union.
The presidential camp (Renaissance, Horizons, MoDem and UDI), under the banner Ensemble, lost its relative majority, 250 elected representatives, but resisted better than announced. With 163 deputies, it constitutes the second force in the National Assembly. The distribution of seats within the presidential camp is as follows: Renaissance obtains 98 seats, MoDem 34 seats, Horizons 26 seats, UDI 1 seat and other parties 4 seats.
Finally, the Republicans known as the “historical channel”, that is to say having refused the alliance of their leader with the RN, obtained 39 elected representatives, and even 66 if we count their various right-wing allies including two from theUDI.
Difficult to predict the new Prime Minister
At present, it is difficult to predict the composition of the government at the end of these legislative elections. One hypothesis was regularly mentioned in the week preceding the second round of the legislative elections: a grand coalition ranging from the left to the right, passing through the center and the parties of the presidential majority. But its contours, as well as its possible program, are still vague.
Such a broad executive would in any case be a first in the history of the 5th Republic. It remains to be seen, in this grand coalition, which camp the next Prime Minister would come from. A contender for Matignon during the election campaign, RN President Jordan Bardella can no longer have this ambition, given the results.
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